Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.040334 0.046990 0.054308 0.062938 0.072826 0.083787 0.096843
2025-07-27 0.029931 0.038511 0.048819 0.062066 0.078580 0.098431 0.124034
2025-08-03 0.023270 0.032666 0.044862 0.061735 0.084338 0.113416 0.153479
2025-08-10 0.018112 0.027509 0.040580 0.059887 0.087435 0.125029 0.179854
2025-08-17 0.014495 0.023648 0.037202 0.058431 0.090459 0.136492 0.207028
2025-08-24 0.012127 0.021111 0.035187 0.058419 0.095249 0.150651 0.239286
2025-08-31 0.009985 0.018488 0.032539 0.056898 0.097334 0.160772 0.266365
2025-09-07 0.008990 0.017579 0.032452 0.059367 0.105863 0.181500 0.311742
2025-09-14 0.007786 0.016064 0.031071 0.059386 0.110226 0.195856 0.348169
2025-09-21 0.006579 0.014313 0.028980 0.057804 0.111533 0.205118 0.376846
2025-09-28 0.005702 0.013042 0.027563 0.057208 0.114422 0.217216 0.411323
2025-10-05 0.005377 0.012846 0.028174 0.060509 0.124800 0.243399 0.472861
2025-10-12 0.004944 0.012362 0.028176 0.062690 0.133449 0.267566 0.533576
2025-10-19 0.004252 0.011167 0.026528 0.061292 0.134932 0.278572 0.571037
2025-10-26 0.003725 0.010258 0.025351 0.060710 0.137962 0.292781 0.615856
2025-11-02 0.003182 0.009197 0.023665 0.058770 0.137898 0.300849 0.649382
2025-11-09 0.002747 0.008326 0.022274 0.057281 0.138586 0.310421 0.686667
2025-11-16 0.002454 0.007772 0.021554 0.057241 0.142432 0.326799 0.739184
2025-11-23 0.002127 0.007051 0.020301 0.055735 0.142750 0.335699 0.776800
2025-11-30 0.002017 0.006944 0.020614 0.058150 0.152467 0.365769 0.862055
2025-12-07 0.001816 0.006521 0.020020 0.058165 0.156442 0.383492 0.921916
2025-12-14 0.001582 0.005937 0.018888 0.056612 0.156388 0.392105 0.962289
2025-12-21 0.001410 0.005519 0.018155 0.056026 0.158677 0.406278 1.016345